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Tariff Fears and Soaring Yields Knock U.S. Equities Ahead of Holiday Weekend

Tariff Fears and Soaring Yields Knock U.S. Equities Ahead of Holiday Weekend

Mon, May 26, 2025

U.S. Stocks Slide on Tariff Uncertainty and Credit Concerns

Equity markets closed the week in the red, capping off four straight days of declines as investors digested a slew of bearish macroeconomic signals. On Friday, May 23, 2025, the S&P 500 fell 0.7% to settle at 5,812, its lowest level in two weeks. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.0%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.6%, reflecting widespread risk aversion across major indices.

Driving the sell-off were escalating trade tensions sparked by President Trump’s proposed 50% tariffs on European Union goods and a 25% import tax on non-U.S.-assembled iPhones, expected to take effect on June 1. This aggressive stance stoked fears of retaliatory action from the EU, with markets bracing for a resurgence of protectionist policies that could damage global supply chains and corporate earnings. Investors.com notes that Apple and other multinationals may face steep cost increases, potentially dragging down the tech-heavy Nasdaq further.

The bond market also sent worrying signals. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged above 4.5%, reflecting growing concern about the country’s fiscal trajectory following the House’s passage of a $3.8 trillion tax and spending package. Alongside a recent credit downgrade by Moody’s, this has raised borrowing costs and dampened equity valuations, especially in interest-rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and financials. According to MarketWatch, analysts are increasingly wary of long-term debt sustainability under current policy paths.

Post-Holiday Trading Outlook: Cautious But Data-Driven

Markets will remain closed on Monday, May 26 for the Memorial Day holiday, but Tuesday’s session is already expected to be eventful. Traders will be closely monitoring several key catalysts:

  • Trade policy developments: Investors are awaiting official EU responses to the proposed U.S. tariffs. Any escalation could trigger defensive positioning across global indices.
  • Corporate earnings: Several major retailers and industrial players are set to release quarterly results. Their guidance may provide insights into how businesses are navigating cost pressures and demand shifts.
  • Economic data: Upcoming releases on consumer confidence, durable goods orders, and inflation expectations will likely influence short-term sentiment and Federal Reserve rate outlooks.

Despite the recent turbulence, some strategists see potential buying opportunities if valuations compress further. Others recommend staying cautious, particularly in tech and cyclical names that may be disproportionately impacted by global trade volatility.

For a broader breakdown of Friday’s market action and what it signals for investors, Bloomberg’s recap video is a helpful primer:
Watch: S&P 500 Falls as Trade War Reignites | Bloomberg Closing Bell

As markets digest geopolitical risks and shifting economic signals, traders are advised to prepare for increased volatility and recalibrate their portfolios accordingly.